FX.co ★ USD/CAD Price Analysis for 26 February, 2021

• USD/CAD gained traction for the second straight day and recovered further from multi-year lows.
• The momentum stalled near a descending trend-line

The USD/CAD pair gained traction for the second consecutive session on Friday and built on the previous day's solid rebound from three-year lows. The momentum pushed the pair to fresh weekly tops, albeit stalled near the 1.2685 confluence hurdle.

The mentioned region marks the 50% Fibonacci level of the 1.2670 and monthly descending trend-line. This should now act as a key pivotal point for short-term traders and help determine the USD/CAD directional move.

Meanwhile, MACD indicators support prospects for additional gains as it tried to cross the 0 level. That said, oscillators have been recovering from the bearish territory – are yet to confirm a near-term positive bias. This makes it crucial to wait for a sustained strength beyond the mentioned confluence barrier before confirming that the USD/CAD pair might have bottomed out in the near-term.

The USD/CAD pair might then surpass the 1.2700 mark and aim to test the 61.8% Fibo. level, around the 1.2720-30 region. The momentum could further get extended towards the 1.2775 intermediate resistance en-route the 1.2800 round-figure mark. On the flip side, the 1.2600 mark now seems to protect the immediate downside, which if broken decisively will be bearish outlook for the USD/CAD pair.