EUR/NZD analysis for January 06, 2016

Overview:

Recently, EUR/NZD has been moving upwards. The price tested the level of 1.6229 in an average volume. In the daily time frame, I found testing of 200 SMA and 50 SMA. In the H4 time frame, I found a massive volume spike and wide-range bar (buying climax). Buying EUR/NZD at this stage looks risky. I placed Fibonacci retracement to find a potential end of the upward correction and got Fibonacci retracement 38.2% at the price of 1.6180 (successfully held) and Fibonacci retracement 61.8% at the price of 1.6395.

Fibonacci Pivot Points:

Resistance levels:

R1: 1.6090

R2: 1.6120

R3: 1.6170

Support levels:

S1: 1.5990

S2: 1.5955

S3: 1.5910

Trading recommendations: Buying EUR/NZD looks very risky at this stage since the price respected our daily 200 SMA in the H4 and daily time frames. Watch for potential selling opportunities.