Forecast for EUR/USD on June 19, 2024

EUR/USD

Yesterday, EUR/USD repeated the same pattern it showed on Monday, albeit in a weaker manner: in the face of muted growth in stock indexes and commodities, the European currencies edged slightly higher. The Australian dollar led gains by rising 42 pips. The euro had a volatile day but it still managed to close the day up 6 pips. The price failed to overcome the resistance of the daily balance indicator line.

The Marlin oscillator is slightly turning around. The price may likely return below the level of 1.0724, where it closed yesterday. Breaking below yesterday's low of 1.0710 paves the way for the price to reach the bearish target of 1.0636, the May 2023 low.

On the 4-hour chart, as expected, the MACD line stopped the euro from correcting higher. If the price manages to settle above this line (1.0752), it may even rise to 1.0788. However, the current situation suggests that the price may consolidate below 1.0724 and continue its descent towards 1.0636.