Analysis of transactions and tips for trading USD/JPY
The test of 153.19, coinciding with the decline of the MACD line from zero, provoked a sell signal that led to a price decrease of 40 pips.
Growing inflation expectations in the US brought demand back to dollar, allowing buyers to enter the market at more attractive prices. Considering the significant rise of the pair during today's Asian session, it seems unlikely that the Bank of Japan will intervene. Even strong data on orders for machinery and equipment in Japan did not help yen rise, indicating the continuation of the upward trend.
For long positions:
Buy when the price hits 153.94 (green line on the chart) and take profit at 154.29. Growth could occur after the breakdown of the daily high.
When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Also consider buying USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 153.73, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 153.94 and 154.29.
For short positions:
Sell when the price reaches 153.73 (red line on the chart) and take profit at 153.37. Pressure will return after an unsuccessful break through the daily high and active actions by the central bank.
When selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Also consider selling USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 153.94, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 153.73 and 153.37.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy USD/JPY
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell USD/JPY
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.