Analysis of transactions and tips for trading GBP/USD
The test of 1.2613 took place at a time when the MACD line moved downward from zero. This, along with strong US data, provoked a sell signal that led to a price decrease of over 40 pips.
The empty macroeconomic calendar in the UK limited pound's growth on Friday, while strong data on the US labor market, which demonstrated steady growth for another month, led to a larger sell-off of risk assets. Today, there will be a speech from Bank of England Deputy Governor for Financial Stability Sarah Breeden, and a dovish message could lead to another decline in pound.
For long positions:
Buy when pound hits 1.2644 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2704 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will occur after good statistics, and this will continue the upward trend.
When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or just starts to rise from it. Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2613, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2644 and 1.2704.
For short positions:
Sell when pound reaches 1.2613 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2563. Pressure will return in the case of an unsuccessful attempt to break through the daily high and dovish speech from Bank of England representatives.
When selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2644, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2613 and 1.2563.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.