Analysis of transactions and trading tips on EUR/USD
The test of 1.0857 occurred during the drop of the MACD line from zero. This provoked a sell signal, which led to a price decrease of 20 pips.
Markets ignored the comments from ECB President Christine Lagarde as far more important statistics lie ahead. The decision of the FOMC on the main interest rate, accompanying statement, and economic forecast could either lead to a decline in euro or strengthen its position against dollar. The press conference by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will be the main driver of the market's movement.
For long positions:
Buy when euro hits 1.0857 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0903. Growth will occur if the Fed says rate cuts could begin as early as the beginning of this summer.
When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0836, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area, as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0857 and 1.0903.
For short positions:
Sell when euro reaches 1.0836 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0791. Pressure will return in the case of Powell's firm stance on rates.
When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0857, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0836 and 1.0791.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.