Analysis of transactions and trading tips on GBP/USD
Further growth became limited as the test of 1.2595 took place at a time when the MACD line moved upward quite strongly from zero. This surprised many since the market reacted sluggishly to fairly strong retail sales data in the UK. Also, overall, the reports showed a complex situation in the region: record-low unemployment, but decreasing inflation. The economy itself once again teeters on the edge of a recession. And retail sales, amid rising household incomes, continue to increase, which will undoubtedly lead to inflation growth. This means that the Bank of England currently faces a lot of changes, so it may be a long time before they will consider interest rate cuts.
Strong movement may be seen after the release of data on producer prices, issued building permits, new foundation layings, consumer sentiment, and inflation expectations in the US. The speeches of FOMC members Michael S. Barr and Mary Daly may not contain anything new, but market players should still pay attention to them.
For long positions:
Buy when pound hits 1.2604 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2647 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will occur after very weak US statistics.
When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2574, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area, as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2604 and 1.2647.
For short positions:
Sell when pound reaches 1.2574 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2537. Pressure will increase in the case of strong US data, especially in the real estate market.
When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2604, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2574 and 1.2537.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.