Translation:
Analysis of transactions and tips for trading USD/JPY
The test of 149.95, coinciding with the drop of the MACD line from zero, provoked a sell signal. However, a sharp price decrease did not occur in the pair.
Although retail sales data for the US came out worse than expected, it did not exert strong pressure on dollar, as after a fairly large downward correction, market players did not want to sell at weekly lows and against a bull market.
Weak activity data in Japan's service sector put pressure on yen. The bullish market could gradually gain momentum again, but the upcoming reports for the US may alter the situation. However, for now, dollar has a good chance of rising.
For long positions:
Buy when the price hits 150.38 (green line on the chart) and take profit at 150.88. Strong growth will occur amid strong data from the US. This will continue the bullish trend.
When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Also consider buying USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 150.05, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 150.38 and 150.88.
For short positions:
Sell when the price reaches 150.05 (red line on the chart) and take profit at 149.56. Pressure will return in the case of unsuccessful bullish activity around the local high. However, be cautious with selling against the trend.
When selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Also consider selling USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 150.38, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 150.05 and 149.56.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy USD/JPY
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell USD/JPY
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.