Early in the American session, EUR/USD is trading around 1.0897 within the downtrend channel forming since October 4th, and below the 21 SMA, reaching the key support of 2/8 Murray around 1.0864.
Technically, the euro is under strong bearish pressure. We believe that a technical correction could occur below 1.0909. So, the price could fall towards the bottom of the bearish trend channel or towards 2/8 of Murray located at 1.0864.
Given that the euro has fallen sharply since the publication of the Non-Farm Payrolls at the beginning of the month, we have not seen a technical correction so far. Therefore, we believe that a technical rebound above 1.0864 will be seen as an opportunity to buy.
On the other hand, if the euro breaks the 21 SMA and consolidates above this area, EUR/USD could reach 1.0986 and even 1.1022. Hence, if the instrument rises above 1.0910, it will be seen as a signal to buy.