Analysis of transactions and tips for trading USD/JPY
The test of 146.59, coinciding with the fall of the MACD line from zero, provoked a sell signal that led to a price decrease of over 40 pips. Meanwhile, purchases on the rebound from 146.05 resulted in a rise of around 20 pips.
Poor US labor market statistics put pressure on the pair. As for today, Japan's data on money supply came out, and it indicated a slower growth than in the previous month. However, it did not affect the market much. Now, the focus will be on the upcoming US labor market reports, which could push USD/JPY to new monthly lows.
For long positions:
Buy when the price hits 146.56 (green line on the chart) and take profit at 147.06. Growth will occur after very good labor market data from the US.
When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Also consider buying USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 146.26, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 146.56 and 147.06.
For short positions:
Sell when the price reaches 146.26 (red line on the chart) and take profit at 145.74. Pressure will return in the case of unsuccessful bullish activity around the local high.
When selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Also consider selling USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 146.56, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 146.26 and 145.74.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy USD/JPY
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell USD/JPY
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.