Analysis of transactions and tips for trading GBP/USD
Further decline became limited because the test of 1.2734 occurred during the strong downward move of the MACD line from zero. Similarly, the upward potential became limited because the test of 1.2765 took place when the MACD line rose far above zero.
GDP data in the UK did not help pound grow because the report indicated that the economy grew in the monthly period, but decreased over the quarter. The US inflation report also did not change the situation, as producer prices in yearly terms resumed their rise, which may spoil the Fed's plans to lower interest rates at the beginning of this year. Considering the empty macroeconomic calendar in the UK today, trading will likely continue within the sideways channel.
For long positions:
Buy when pound hits 1.2765 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2796 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will occur, but it will be within a sideways channel.
When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or just starts to rise from it. Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2745, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2765 and 1.2796.
For short positions:
Sell when pound reaches 1.2745 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2701. Pressure will return in the case of a lack of activity around the daily high.
When selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2765, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2745 and 1.2701.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.