Analysis of transactions and tips for trading USD/JPY
Further decline became limited because the test of 142.31 coincided with the sharp downward move of the MACD line from zero. Sometime later, another test occurred, and this time the MACD line already left the oversold area, provoking a buy signal. However, no upward movement took place due to the relatively weak US statistics.
Pressure on dollar intensified because data on the US Personal Consumption Expenditures Index indicated a slowdown in price growth. Considering the end of the year, trading will likely remain within the sideways channel.
For long positions:
Buy when the price hits 142.33 (green line on the chart) and take profit at 142.76. Growth will occur after the breakdown of the local high.
When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Also consider buying USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 141.97, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 142.33 and 142.76.
For short positions:
Sell when the price reaches 141.97 (red line on the chart) and take profit at 141.62. Pressure will return in the case of unsuccessful bullish actions around the daily high.
When selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Also consider selling USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 142.33 but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 141.97 and 141.62.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy USD/JPY
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell USD/JPY
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.