Analysis of transactions and tips for trading EUR/USD
The test of 1.0939 took place when the MACD line moved downward quite sharply from zero. This occurred within the context of low trading volume and low volatility, limiting the further decline of the pair.
ECB President Christine Lagarde talked about the future bond reinvestment program, but did not say any specifics on interest rates, except that the program may be adjusted in 2024. Meanwhile, weak housing market data from the US kept euro afloat in the afternoon.
Today, data on the eurozone's M3 money supply aggregate and private sector lending will come out, followed by statements from ECB representatives. If traders fail to push pound beyond the monthly high after their release, the pressure on the pair will return, leading to a decline in prices.
For long positions:
Buy when euro hits 1.0955 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0980. Growth will occur after hawkish comments from ECB representatives and breakdown of the monthly high.
When buying, make sure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0935, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0955 and 1.0980.
For short positions:
Sell when euro reaches 1.0935 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0904. Pressure will return in the case of an unsuccessful attempt to consolidate at the monthly high.
When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies under zero or drops down from it. Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0955, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0935 and 1.0904.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.