Analysis of transactions and tips for trading EUR/USD
Further decline became limited because the test of 1.0905 occurred when the MACD line moved downward quite sharply from zero.
Good business activity data in the eurozone let euro maintain its position. However, everything may change today after the release of reports on Germany's GDP, business climate, present situation, and economic expectations. Poor numbers will lower euro demand, leading to a fall in EUR/USD. Only hawkish statements from ECB members Christine Lagarde and Joachim Nagel will spur risk appetite, and this will likely happen since the central bank will not lower interest rates even in the face of early signals of an economic recession.
For long positions:
Buy when euro hits 1.0920 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0958. Growth will occur after very positive data from Germany and hawkish comments from ECB representatives.
When buying, make sure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0904, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0920 and 1.0958.
For short positions:
Sell when euro reaches 1.0904 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0865. Pressure will increase in the case of very poor statistics indicating a slowdown in the growth rate of the German economy.
When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies under zero or drops down from it. Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0920, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0904 and 1.0865.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.