AUD/USD dynamics scenarios on November 16, 2023

During today's Asian trading session, the Australian dollar sharply weakened as the AUD/USD pair declined following the release of data from the Australian labor market. The data reflected an increase in unemployment in Australia in October, and after the weaker-than-expected data from China published on Wednesday, it also exerted pressure on the Australian currency.

AUD/USD remains in the zone of medium-term and long-term bearish markets, below key resistance levels at 0.6955 (200 EMA on the weekly chart) and 0.6570 (200 EMA on the daily chart).

A breakdown of the support zone at levels 0.6432 (200 EMA on the 1-hour chart), 0.6420 (50 EMA on the daily chart), 0.6405 (200 EMA on the 4-hour chart) will resume the downward dynamics of the pair. The first signal for the resumption of short positions, with the nearest target at the support level of 0.6405, will be the breakdown of the short-term support level of 0.6475 (200 EMA on the 15-minute chart) and today's low of 0.6461.

In case of further decline, the pair will move inside the downward channel on the weekly chart towards its lower boundary and marks at 0.6200 and 0.6170 (2022 lows).

In an alternative scenario, the price will break through key resistance levels at 0.6570, 0.6600 (50 EMA on the weekly chart), and continue the upward correction, heading towards the important long-term resistance level of 0.6555. Its breakout will bring AUD/USD into the zone of the long-term bullish market.

For now, short positions remain preferable.

Support levels: 0.6475, 0.6461, 0.6454, 0.6431, 0.6420, 0.6405, 0.6360, 0.6335, 0.6300, 0.6285, 0.6200, 0.6170

Resistance levels: 0.6500, 0.6515, 0.6570, 0.6600, 0.6610, 0.6700, 0.6800, 0.6855, 0.6900, 0.6955, 0.7000, 0.7040