Analysis of transactions and tips for trading USD/JPY
The test of 150.60, coinciding with the downward movement of the MACD line from zero, prompted a sell signal that led to a price decrease of over 30 pips. However, Japan's 3rd quarter GDP data limited the downward potential, while the strong retail sales report from the US completely undermined the efforts of sellers to build further downward correction.
Upcoming data from the US will reflect the state of its economy. Look out for the reports on jobless claims, Philadelphia Fed's manufacturing index, changes in industrial production, and the NAHB housing market index. FOMC members John Williams, Loretta Mester, and Christopher Waller will also speak, and a dovish tone will likely limit the upward potential of the pair. Nevertheless, overall, the upward movement will continue.
For long positions:
Buy when the price hits 151.54 (green line on the chart) and take profit at 151.99. Growth will continue in line with the bull market, especially after strong statistics from the US. However, when buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or just starts to rise from it.
Also consider buying USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 151.23, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 151.54 and 151.99.
For short positions:
Sell when the price reaches 151.23 (red line on the chart) and take profit at 150.78. Pressure will be little before the release of US data. However, when selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it.
Also consider selling USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 151.54, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 151.23 and 150.78.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy USD/JPY
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell USD/JPY
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.