Analysis of transactions and tips for trading EUR/USD
The test of 1.0653 on Friday afternoon, coinciding with the rise of the MACD line from zero, prompted a buy signal that led to a price increase of around 15 pips. However, pressure returned shortly after, as activity data in the eurozone came out weaker than expected. This continued for the rest of the day.
A lot of important statistics lie ahead, such as the reports on Germany's business environment conditions, present situation assessments, and economic expectations from the IFO. They could lead to another sell-off in the pair, unless the numbers exceed expectations, helping buyers deal with the pressure.
For long positions:
Buy when euro hits 1.0657 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0705. Growth will occur after good reports from the IFO. However, when buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or just starts to rise from it.
Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0634, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0657 and 1.0705.
For short positions:
Sell when euro reaches 1.0634 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0582. Pressure may return at any moment, especially after weak data from Germany. However, when selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it.
Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0657, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0634 and 1.0582.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.