Analysis of transactions and tips for trading USD/JPY
The test of 146.28, coinciding with the rise of the MACD line from zero, prompted a buy signal that led to a price increase of around 60 pips. After the pair reached 146.89, sales from this level resulted in a decline of approximately 40 pips.
Expectations that the Bank of Japan would continue to intervene led to a sharp strengthening of yen, but then demand weakened and the pair retraced more than 50% of its intraday movement. Since it appears that the central bank will continue to intervene in the market exchange rate, traders better sell the pair today.
For long positions:
Buy when the price hits 147.12 (green line on the chart) and take profit at 147.79. Growth may occur as the bullish market remains in play. However, when buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or just starts to rise from it.
Also consider buying USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 146.66, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 147.12 and 147.79.
For short positions:
Sell when the price reaches 146.66 (red line on the chart) and take profit at 145.91. Pressure may persist amid expectations of significant intervention by the central bank. However, when selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it.
Also consider selling USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 147.12, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 146.66 and 145.91.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy USD/JPY
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell USD/JPY
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.