The test of 1.2815, coinciding with the drop of the MACD line from zero, prompted a sell signal that led to a price decrease of around 35 pips. The downward movement continues even at the time of writing.
The upwardly revised PMI report on the UK manufacturing sector did not affect the balance of power, leading to a new and more active sale of GBP/USD. A similar indicator will come out from the US today, followed by a report on changes in expenditure in the construction sector. If they manage to surprise, pound's decline will likely continue. However, considering how much it already dropped during the European session, the data, matching with forecasts, may lead to a correction in the pair.
For long positions:
Buy when pound hits 1.2810 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2841 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will occur amid weak statistics from the US. However, when buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it.
Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2790, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2810 and 1.2541.
For short positions:
Sell when pound reaches 1.2790 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2763. Pressure may return in the case of a strong PMI report. However, when selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it.
Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2810, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2790 and 1.2763.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.