Further growth became limited as the test of 1.1080 coincided with the sharp rise of the MACD line from zero.
Home sales data on the US primary market could lead to a surge in volatility, but most likely, the real movement will happen only after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech. If he declares an end to the rate hike cycle and expresses satisfaction with the current pace of inflation reduction, euro will reach its yearly highs by the end of the week. However, if the announcement points to the continuation of the aggressive fight against inflation, pressure on EUR/USD will increase, leading to a further decline in the pair.
If Powell remains mild in his forecasts, buy euro and disregard the MACD indicator readings.
For long positions:
Buy when euro hits 1.1098 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.1144. Growth will occur amid a dovish position from the Federal Reserve. However, when buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it.
Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.1068, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.1098 and 1.1144.
For short positions:
Sell when euro reaches 1.1068 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.1023,. Pressure may increase in the case of a stringent Fed policy and positive indicators from the US. However, when selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it.
Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.1098, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.1068 and 1.1023.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.