Early in the European session, the EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.0907, reaching the price level of November 29th. Since November 23, the euro has been trading within a downtrend channel which was broken yesterday after the announcement of the Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting.
According to the H4 chart, we could see that the euro managed to bounce above the 4/8 Murray at 1.0742 and reach an area of 1.0907. This strong upward movement of the euro happened technically after a sharp break of the downtrend channel.
On the other hand, fundamentally, the euro rose following the decision of the Federal Reserve. The message is that there will be multiple interest rate cuts in 2024. This triggered an accelerated move in the euro which is likely to continue rising in the coming days but before, we expect a technical correction.
Given that the euro is now showing bullish signals, a technical correction is expected in the coming hours below the first daily resistance located at 1.0930. In case there is a pullback towards 1.0954, which acts as the first weekly resistance, this could be seen as a signal to sell with targets at 5/8 Murray located at 1.0864.
In the coming hours, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its monetary policy decision. So, there is likely to be strong volatility in the euro. A technical bounce around 1.0864 (5/8 Murray) or at 1.0850 which represents the daily pivot point, will be seen as a buying opportunity with the target of 6/8 Murray located at 1.0986.
In the coming days, the EUR/USD pair is expected to trade below 1.0986 and above 1.0850. This price range seen during November could give us an opportunity to sell or to buy. The eagle indicator is giving a positive signal, but we should wait for a technical correction to resume buying.