Early in the American session, the EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.0974, above the 21 SMA, and below the 6/8 Murray. Yesterday, the euro reached the high of 1.1016 above the psychological level of 1.10, and since then we have observed a technical correction as part of the uptrend channel cycle movement.
In case the euro bounces around 1.0960 in the next hours, it could resume its upward cycle and could reach 1.10 up to 1.1108 (weekly resistance).
On the other hand, in case there is a sharp break of the uptrend channel formed since November 20 and a break below the 21 SMA, a strong technical correction could occur in the short term and the euro could reach the 200 EMA at 1.0780.
The psychological level of 1.10 is the key for the euro to continue rising. If the 4-hour chart consolidates above the 1.1016 high, we could expect a bullish continuation and EUR/USD could reach 7/8 Murray at 1.1108 and even 1.1230 (8/8 Murray).
On the contrary, as long as the euro trades below the psychological level of 1.10, any technical bounce could be seen as a signal to sell with the short-term target at 1.0742. The eagle indicator is giving a negative signal. So, a strong technical correction is likely to follow in the coming days.