As markets factor in interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve until the end of 2023, gold prices remain under pressure.
In its latest gold price forecast, ABN AMRO's Senior Economist Sustainability Research, Georgette Boele, has lowered her long-term gold forecast. She projects prices to reach $2,000 by the end of this year and 2024 instead of the $2,200 previous forecast for 2024.
According to her, investors are not eager to buy gold at current levels, likely because prices are close to historical highs. She added that market expectations shifted after the Federal Reserve's statement about continuing its aggressive policy, even though the tightening cycle is nearing completion, marking the most aggressive tightening cycle in the last 40 years.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is an 80% probability of a rate hike in July.
Boele stated that the Dutch bank expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 175 basis points only next year, as the economy slipped into a recession in the first quarter. Consequently, the bank anticipates a global bullish impulse for gold only in the following year, which could push prices towards historical highs.