Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for November 21, 2023

Technical Market Outlook:

The GBP/USD pair has surpassed last week's high at 1.2504, establishing a new swing high at 1.2536. Intraday technical support is identified at 1.2504, while bullish momentum targets are set at 1.2547 and 1.2590. It's important to note that the mid-term perspective remains bearish, primarily due to the Bearish Cross observed between the 50 and 100 DMA on the daily chart. Unless the long-term technical resistance level of 1.2550 is decisively breached, there is a likelihood of a resumption of the downtrend. Additionally, a conspicuous Bearish Divergence is evident between the price and momentum oscillator on the H4 timeframe, suggesting the potential for a pullback.

Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - 1.2868

WR2 - 1.2687

WR1 - 1.2575

Weekly Pivot - 1.2394

WS1 - 1.2282

WS2 - 1.2101

WS3 - 1.1989

Trading Outlook:

The weekly time frame chart reveals a decisive Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern materializing amid the breakout beyond the 1.2340 level, signaling the dominance of bullish sentiment as prices continue to climb. Currently, the market is trading above the 50-week moving average (WMA) and is on course towards the 100 WMA positioned at 1.2504. Conversely, a sustained breakout below the critical long-term technical support at 1.1802 significantly heightens the probability of a substantial downward movement, potentially targeting the level of 1.1494.