Trading plan for EURUSD on June 15, 2023

Technical outlook:

EURUSD rallied through the 1.0860-65 area intraday on Wednesday before turning lower post-FOMC. The single currency pair might have carved a lower top now and is looking to drag the price down towards 1.0500-50 soon.The structure remains bearish for the short term as the bears are poised to push the instrument down below 1.0535 at least.

EURUSD is within its last wave lower to 1.0500 which would then complete its larger-degree complex corrective structure from the 1.1035 highs earlier. The currency pair is retracing its previous larger-degree upswing between 0.9535 and 1.1035 and should find support around 1.0500-50, which is the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement of the above upswing.

EURUSD might have also completed its lower-degree upswing around 1.0860 which had begun from the 1.0640 lows earlier. Also, note that prices hit the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement of the recent downswing between 1.1093 and 1.0640 levels respectively. A high probability remains for the bears to come back in control from here.

Trading idea:

A potential drop through 1.0500 to resume soon.

Good luck!