Analysis of transactions in the EUR / USD pair
The test of 0.9986 happened when the MACD line moved down quite a lot from zero, which limited the further downside potential of the pair. Some time later, another test took place, but this time the MACD line was in the oversold area, so the pair rose by about 35 pips. As for short positions at 1.0079, they led to losses.
Although retail sales in the Euro area coincided with forecasts, the market was not affected in the morning. But by afternoon, euro shot up as the start of the US midterm elections weakened dollar's position due to the majority in Congress being taken by the Republicans
Today, ECB member Frank Elderson is scheduled to speak, but it will be of little interest. There are also no important fundamental statistics, so the market will return to balance ahead of tomorrow's inflation data in the US. Statements by FOMC members John Williams and Thomas Barkin, along with US wholesale inventory changes, will also be of little interest. Only the next election results will lead to a surge in volatility.
For long positions:
Buy euro when the quote reaches 1.0088 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0141. But growth is unlikely to occur today, so be careful with buying at the highs. Nevertheless, remember that when buying, the MACD line should be above zero or is starting to rise from it.
Euro can also be bought at 1.0044, however, the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0088 and 1.0141.
For short positions:
Sell euro when the quote reaches 1.0044 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0004. Pressure will return after hawkish statements from Fed representatives and news on the midterm elections in the US. Take note that when selling, the MACD line should be below zero or is starting to move down from it.
Euro can also be sold at 1.0088, however, the MACD line should be in the overbought area, as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0044 and 1.0004.
What's on the chart:
The thin green line is the key level at which you can place long positions in the EUR/USD pair.
The thick green line is the target price, since the quote is unlikely to move above this level.
The thin red line is the level at which you can place short positions in the EUR/USD pair.
The thick red line is the target price, since the quote is unlikely to move below this level.
MACD line - when entering the market, it is important to be guided by the overbought and oversold zones.
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.