Forecast for GBP/USD on August 17, 2022

The pound slowed down corrective growth at the target level of 1.2100. If the price does not settle above it, then we are waiting for a reversal with the development of support for the MACD line of the daily scale in the area of 1.1965. Further, the 1.1800 target may open.

A large layer of inflation indicators for July will be released in the UK today. The core CPI is expected to rise from 5.8% y/y to 5.9% y/y, while the overall CPI could rise from 9.4% y/y to 9.8% y/y. Only a slight weakening is expected in producer prices - their selling prices may show an increase of 16.2% y/y against 16.5% y/y a month earlier. Thus, the option with the pound's growth is possible, we will consider its details on the four-hour chart.

Growth is limited by the MACD indicator line on the H4 chart, approximately at the level of 1.2170. At the current moment, the signal line of the Marlin Oscillator is turning down from the border with the territory of the growing trend. Therefore, consolidating under 1.2100 will resume the price decline in its main direction. First target at 1.1965.