Trading plan for EURUSD on March 09, 2023

Technical outlook:

EURUSD dropped through the 1.0526 lows on Wednesday after reversing sharply lower from the 1.0694 highs earlier. The single currency pair is seen to be trading close to 1.0560 at this point in writing as the bulls prepare to come back in control. Prices are expected to push through 1.0694 to complete the corrective pattern.

EURUSD had earlier carved a larger-degree upswing between 0.9535 and 1.1030 as seen on the daily chart. The above upswing is being worked upon as prices are retracing lower towards 1.0100 going forward. Also, note that 1.0100 is the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement of the above upswing. Hence, a high probability remains for a bullish bounce from there.

EUR is setting up to produce a counter-trend rally within the larger-degree corrective drop towards 1.0100. The counter-trend rally is expected to drive the price to 1.0720 and up to 1.0850 levels respectively, before turning lower again. Ideally, prices should stay above the 1.0480-1.0500 zone to keep the bullish structure intact.

Trading idea:

Potential short-term rally towards 1.0700, then lower again.

Good luck!