The price of Gold plunged in the short term as the Dollar Index rallied after the US economic data publication. Now, it is trading in the green at 1,777 on the H1 chart above 1,765 today's low. After its massive drop, it tries to rebound and recover.
As you already know, the US economic data came in better than expected, that's why XAU/USD crashed. The US NPF was reported at 528K in July above 250K expected and versus 398K in June. In addition, the Unemployment Rate dropped unexpectedly from 3.6% to 3.5%, while the Average Hourly Earnings rose by 0.5% beating the 0.3% growth expected.
XAU/USD Up-Channel!Gold failed to stay above the weekly R1 (1,788) and above that former high signaling exhausted buyers. Despite a strong negative correlation between Gold and the USD, when the greenback appreciates, XAU/USD drops.
Now, it has reached the uptrend line and it has rebounded. A bounce back is natural after its sell-off. 1,788 stands as an upside obstacle. Technically, after its failure to reach and retest the channel's upside line, the price action signaled an overbought.
XAU/USD Forecast!A valid breakdown below the uptrend line, a new lower low, dropping and closing below 1,765 could activate more declines and may bring new selling opportunities.
Only staying above the uptrend line and jumping and closing above 1,788 could announce further growth.