Forecast for EUR/USD on July 30, 2021

EUR/USD

Yesterday's economic data played into the hands of strategic buyers of the euro - even on average volumes, the single currency gained 43 points - this is the largest daily growth of the week. Unemployment in Germany in July decreased from 5.9% to 5.7%, the index of manufacturing sentiment in the euro area for the current month increased from 12.8 to 14.6, the harmonized consumer price index in Germany increased from 2.1% y/y up to 3.1% y/y. And in the US, GDP for the second quarter showed an increase of 6.5% against the forecast of 8.5% and the previous figure was revised down from 6.4% to 6.3%. US reports were even summed up by applications for unemployment benefits - the weekly figure was 400,000 against the forecast of 380,000.

Today there are data on expenses and income of individuals for June. Revenues are forecast to decline 0.3% after the previous -2.0%, expenses may increase 0.7% versus the previous 0.9%. Such data is able to push for the euro's growth.

The price stopped at the balance indicator line on the daily chart. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has left its own channel upwards, now, after a short break, the price will attack the important resistance at 1.1925, consolidating above which opens the target at 1.2050.

The situation is completely upward on the four-hour chart. The Marlin Oscillator has turned down, but this appears as a discharge of the indicator before further growth. The correction limit is seen at the level 1.1850.