Forecast for EUR/USD on May 4, 2021

EUR/USD

In a relatively thin market on Monday (it was a holiday in Japan, China and the UK), the dollar did not dare to continue its Friday offensive. PMI indices showed deterioration in both Europe and the United States. The manufacturing PMI of the eurozone for April in the final assessment was lowered from 63.3 to 62.9, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI showed 60.7 points instead of the expected 65.0. Today, industrial orders in the US for March are expected to grow by 1.3%.

In today's Asian session, the price is making a second attempt to overcome the support of the 50.0% Fibonacci level (1.2025). It could be successful if the quote reaches 1.1952 in the coming days (Fibonacci level 38.2% per daily).

The balance indicator line stopped yesterday's corrective growth on the four-hour chart. The Marlin oscillator is turning to the downside without leaving the downward trend area. We are waiting for the price to settle under 1.2025 and further downward movement.