Forecast for USD/JPY on December 18, 2020

USD/JPY

Yesterday, the yen moved under the target level of 103.18, but failed to settle below it. This morning the price is already above this level and it may not fall towards the target of 102.35. In order to move to the first target along the MACD line in the 104.10 area, there are still no conditions on the lower timeframe. The situation is neutral.

The growth rates are higher, and being able to settle above the embedded price channel line (104.42), paves the way for the price to reach the upper line of the price channel in the 105.70 area, but it is too early to talk about it.

There is a 60% probability that the price can return to the area under 103.18 and continue to decline to the target of 102.35.

The four-hour chart shows that the first reversal signal will appear when the signal line of the Marlin oscillator goes into the positive area, and in order to do so the price needs to rise by about 30 points, which will correspond to the price of 103.60, and this is already close to the MACD line (107.75). When making a decision to buy, we recommend that you wait until the price goes above this indicator line. The current situation is not trading.