GBP/USD Analysis on 11 March, 2022

GBP/USD touched its weakest level since November 2020 near 1.3050 early Friday but managed to pare its daily losses. In the absence of significant fundamental drivers, the pair stays calm near 1.3100 ahead of US consumer confidence data.

On the four-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index is about to cross below 30, suggesting that GBP/USD will turn technically oversold in the short term. Even if the pair makes a technical correction, the technical outlook will remain bearish unless it clears 1.3100 (psychological level).Moreover ,4 hourly MACD has diverged in favor of the bulls. MACD histograms has produced higher lows , contradicting lower lows on the price chart.

On the downside, 1.3000 (psychological level) aligns as the next bearish target but the pair needs to close a four-hour candle below 1.3050 (static level) before stretching lower.

Above 1.3100, 1.3130 (20-period SMA, static level) could be seen as the next resistance before 1.3200 (psychological level).